Crash Checklist

Real-time rule-based confirmation.

LIVE

SYSTEM STABLE

Safety Protocol Status: OPTIMAL

Crypto Assets Volatility

24H %

Global Systemic

6 FACTORS

Systemic Credit Stress

> 300bps TED

Interbank counterparty risk & bond spreads.

Yield Curve Inversion

10Y-2Y < -0.5%

Recessionary signal from bond market duration spreads.

External Macro Shock

Protocol IV

Geopolitical events or central bank emergency pivots.

High-Yield Debt Spreads

> 500bps Spread

Junk bond yield premiums over Treasury bonds.

Sovereign Default Risk

> 100bps CDS

Credit Default Swaps (CDS) for major economies.

Reverse Repo Liquidity

< $200B ON RRP

Overnight liquidity drainage from the Fed window.

Indian Market

6 FACTORS

NIFTY Volatility Spike

Daily Fall > 2%

Extreme daily deviation in domestic benchmarks.

FII Liquidity Drain

> ₹5,000Cr Sell

Foreign Institutional Investors heavy selling regime.

DII Buying Fatigue

Net Sell Day

Domestic Institutional Investors stopping the floor.

RBI Repo Pivot

Rate Hike > 25bps

Sudden hawkish change in interest rate trajectory.

IPO Frenzy Index

> 100x Oversub

Excessive retail participation in low-quality paper.

Rural Demand Shock

< 3% YoY Growth

Consumer staples volume drop in non-urban areas.

Commodities

6 FACTORS

Gold Safe Haven Pivot

XAU/USD > $2,500

Gold outperforming equities as fear index rises.

Energy Supply Shock

Brent > $90/bbl

Oil price spike causing industrial cost compression.

Copper Demand Sink

HG < $4.00/lb

Dr. Copper signaling industrial slowdown.

Silver Industrial Lag

XAG/XAU < 0.012

Silver underperforming despite inflation.

Agricultural Spikes

> 15% Monthly

Wheat/Corn prices causing global food insecurity.

Lithium Demand Crash

< $15k/tonne

EV/Battery metals signaling tech slowdown.

Currencies

6 FACTORS

Dollar Index (DXY) Surge

DXY > 105.50

USD strength draining global EM liquidity.

INR Devaluation

USD/INR > 84.50

Sudden weakness in Rupee against the Dollar.

Yen Carry Unwind

USD/JPY < 145

JPY strength forcing global margin liquidations.

Euro Parity Break

EUR/USD < 1.00

EUR/USD falling below psychological floor.

EM Currency Basket

> 3% Weekly Drop

Broad Emerging Market currency collapse.

Cross-Border Controls

Manual Check

Capital controls or digital fiat restrictions.

Crypto Index

6 FACTORS

Volatility Implosion

> 5% Daily move

Extreme price deviation in BTC/ETH benchmarks.

Liquidity Evaporation

< $15B BTC Vol

Order book depth & trading volume drying up.

Recursive Leverage

> 1.0 Funding

Extreme on-chain or exchange margin debt buildup.

Stablecoin De-peg

Price < $0.98

USDT/USDC trading significantly below parity.

Hashrate Capitulation

-10% Hashrate

Miners forced to sell reserves at a loss.

DEX/CEX Arb Gap

> 2% Spread

Liquidity fragmented across trading venues.

Suggested Guidance

Stay calm

Avoid leverage

Keep dry cash